Madhya Pradesh Assembly Election 2018

The center most state of India, Madhya Pradesh is as diverse as the whole of India is. With a tint of culture adopted from all across the nation, Madhya Pradesh is truly the heart of incredible India. Isn't it whatever happens in the heart gets transported to whole of the body? Madhya Pradesh is the pathological barometer of India.  

After every election gone by, voter learns new lessons. It's evident from the fact that how NOTA and the new political parties (like AAP) have quickly emerged with strong identity. With the advent of new and young political leaders, the flavour of leadership is diversifying. This assembly election will send shock waves to the political metrics of upcoming General Assembly Elections due next year in 2019.

The first election commissioner of India, in year 1952, Sir Sukumar Sen had weaved the method of actualizing the "right to vote" for every Indian. His vision had made the ultimate concept of Universal Adult Franchise (UAF) in the formation of the first people's government in India. He had done the impossible by enrolling every single adult citizen as voter. He had enabled Indians with the right to elect government. Year 2018, will write another history, this will be the election by the people who are more informed and educated.

This map above is the thermostat of how educated leaders will combat sinful, corrupt and illiterate power mongers of Madhya Pradesh in due assembly election 2018.

Keep coming back, we will answer all your questions in the comment thread below.

Nakedness of global conflict and its impact on India

We are still taking it very lightly but RSS is becoming really very big threat for the idea of India. Once fully grown, it will be way more vehement than British Raj.
Threat is less from the Hindutva agenda of RSS but more from the ways it's being used by the global powers for even bigger evil game. 

Hindu is not a religion by definition, it is an unauthorized proclamation for a collection of all the sects living in Indian subcontinent who revere natural resources or idols. Since post vedic era, Brahmins were constantly struggling for a  demographic identify against more organized and self growing demographic identities like Islam, Jude, Christianity, Buddhist, Jainism etc. From Shankaracharya to Vivekanand a lot of Brahman representatives have tried to bring Indian population under a singular identity. As of now it seems now that finally Vivekanand has succeeded with his idea of including Dalit and tribesmen into the second ring of Hindu identity. Until now all other nomenclatures like Sanatan, Bharatvarsh, Vedic, Shaivi, Vaishnavi, Sooryavnshi, Chandravanshi, Tantrik, Kalikey and a lot more had failed to accommodate every sect living inside Indian boundary. It's only after the effective application of caste hierarchy Brahmins succeeded to establish control in whole civil demographics but tribes remain discounted.
However, this size of population was enough to regain power at the central government. Christian left India by slicing it into two nations a Muslim and a Hindu. Not declared Hindu because no one was sure what Hindu actually is and who actually represent Hindus. A secular representation of Hindus in the form of Indian National Congress was the new boardgame everyone was excited to play. Had there not been communist and untouchables revolution on the peak at the time of second world war, India would have sliced into more fragments one each for a Brahmin, Rajpoot, Baniya, Dalit and Adivasi.
After the second world war, everyone was convinced that third world war is at the brink, Britain was the leader of the winners of second world war. It needed to prepare for the third, quitting direct rule of the colonies was its pressing first priority. India was the complex one, they almost abandoned it in the middle of dog fight.
In this dogfight, Hindu Mahasabha I.e. RSS got almost nothing. Baffled RSS had to mark its anger, killing mascot of secularism was apt. Hence the Baniya Mahatma was executed. Since than RSS is inching towards parliament very passionately to win it rule it and then ruin it. RSS wants to topple the Indian house of people representatives. As of now it is visibly going to be successful. Infact going very fast now.
Why RSS achieved this momentum all of a sudden?
RSS has become the victim of its own game plan. Like they're using Dalit and Adivasi to topple democracy. They're exactly being used by the Jude and Christian to isolate wipe out Islam. This is why RSS has all of sudden got the funds, media and corporate backing. Because Jude control fund, media and thus the corporate, Christian are siding with Jude for immediate benefits only. The ultimate winner of this game is Christian because they win whoever between Islam or Jude wins. The ultimate loser of the game is Hindu because they will be used as like woods in the furnace during the war and will be swallowed by whoever wins the war. RSS assumes that it will grow very powerful by the time their masters will be in dogfight but they're way too small and ignorant to understand that whatever they're being offered is second class, outdated and already used up.

Unlimited Limitations

We are not dying, perhaps we get next set of senses by surrendering the existing five senses. Maybe death is just a stage to go to the next level..."

Time is the only one such physical unit which one cannot feel but experience. In this enormous universe made up of trillion trillion things, why humans have only five channels to engage with it? Why humans can only touch, smell, taste, hear and see this universe and nothing else we can do with it?
I am sure there must be more than five ways to interact with the cosmos. This
universe must be having at least one billion of such units like time unknown to human race. Yes time cannot be touched, smelled, tasted, heard or seen but can still be profoundly experienced by mankind.
Other than time, can we imagine what those units could be? If we realize about things which exist but can't be felt using our all five senses what will we conclude about species we see and pity upon? Don't we realize that those seem senseless to us are having stronger sense than we have? Perhaps we will realize that plants are more inteligent than us because they don't need any of the five senses to communicate among themselves and they have a lot more senses than just these five!
Perhaps they are able to communicate irrespective of the distance. Perhaps they have ability of inter gallectic communication. Perhaps real communication doesn't require any language at all! Just no encoder or decoder like alphabet, speech or body gesture! We human think of ourselves as the most inteligent species of the universe but I think we are dumb because all we have is only five ways to engage with this universe. With this limited means we generate reasons that trigger violence. We often break out amongst us and kill each other. Perhaps we need more senses to understand what we miss otherwise. With limited senses we develop so many miss understanding that we tend to fight all the time. This whole thing called senses deliver a valid reason to ponder upon the idea that perhaps we are far inferior than any other species that we share this world with.
Our mind is able to conceive the ideas that what we physically can't do. For example if I wish to think about reaching at the edge of the universe, my mind will accumulate the best of knowledge about the cosmos and will reach at its edge. This implies that perhaps our mind is free from the limits imposed by the time-space curvature. Dreams, imaginations, thoughts are not bounded by physical laws but this body is.
Why? Are we caged? Is that implies that life is surreal? Or may even not death is final conclusion of life?
I may be sounding theocratic but I am not. I am just posting questions everyone is asking from everyone else but no one has satisfying answers...

Fear of FAIR is Unfair

FAIR = Facebook Artificial Intelligence Research

FAIR = Facebook Artificial Intelligence Research
What will be the legacy of our race when we are all gone? - Jitendra Rajaram

"Life…is a romantic invention of the Earth. And the most romantic invention of life is… death! Imagine, If I somehow, find out that I am sure to die in next five minutes. What will I do? I will utilize the remaining five minutes in craziest way I can. I will do anything from kiss adieu to my wife and to blast off a fuel station nearby. I can spend these five minutes to do the most carefree things I could think of. Now imagine, if I find out that I am not going to die ever. That I am going to live forever for as long as this universe exists! What will I do? I think I will travel to the USA, walk in to the American President office and force close every other government on the planet. I will declare that I and only I will rule this planet. After a while I will look out for another planet as my next aspiration. No!

Sounds crazy, right? Imagine if anyone has to play chess where the objective of playing chess is same i.e. checkmate but no one has to follow chess rules! Yes, no rules! How can anyone play chess without rules right?
That’s the point, life without death is chess without rules. Everything is destined to end. That’s the whole point of existence.

There was a time when mankind was not existing, there will be a time when mankind will not exist. The question is, what will exist when mankind will not exist? Will the future remember us? How will future remember us? What will be the legacy of our race when we are all gone?

What will be the cause of human’s extermination? Diseases? Climate? Eco-logical collapse of our biosphere? Or is that what we are ought to invent? Are we inventing our own enemy? Like the one world is talking about? The artificial intelligence!

Fear of death is natural. But… death is more natural than fear itself. This is how we all have accepted it and because we have accepted the death, we are travelling in time as a baton carrier of previous race. With an objective to handover this baton to our succeeding race. The baton of knowledge! We are treasuring knowledge, we are ensuring that coming generation will not only be able to understand what we have done but will also take it to the next level. As a human, the most intelligent species in the universe known so far. This is the best we can do, we should do!

In our quest of curiosity and craziness to speed-up doing whatever we want to do, we have exploited our bio-sphere way too much. We have pumped too much smoke in the atmosphere, generated too many dangerous bacteria, viruses and germs by cultivating our food and wasting it. We have done enough destruction to end our existence. But interestingly, we are less alarmed about these destructions and worried of something called Artificial Intelligence?

It’s funny that we have polluted our environment but still think that we will be eradicated none other than our own invention. Something like AI will kill us? We are panicked by the future which will be designed by us? Well it is true if tomorrow’s machines will not find us productive enough or if we will seem less rightful to keep AI or Bots slaved, they will most likely enslave us or neutralize us.

So! Are we afraid of slavery or are we scared extermination? Let’s ask this question from people one by one. We will realize that the actual narration is not about annihilation, it is about slavery. Ask these questions randomly from anyone around you. Just ask them…

Do you want to be exterminated from the earth or do you want to be enslaved by the machines? More easily, ask whether you want that mankind should be annihilated or it is ok if we exist under the slavery of machines that we have created?

More simply, ask, what if you have only two choices! Go die or surrender to machines?

Actually, very rapidly we are all traversing to a future where we will have to face this question. Because collective conscience of the human race is packed with greed, curiosity, dreams, and thrills of knowing something unknown. We gossip around unknown things so much that we discover new thrills. From religion to nuclear bomb we have invented things out of this thrill and greed. No one of us can stop mankind to develop super intelligent, emotion sensing devices with unprecedented capacity to remember past, imagine future and keep control of every micro-detailed events taking place all around. These devices will have miraculously high capacity to avoid errors. May be not invincible but powerful enough to force us surrender or face unilateral war. A war we will never win.

You know why we are worried about this today? AI is something which will snatch the power from the present power mongers! It will forever end their strong hold on the mankind. Our power monger fellow humans are scared of something they can’t control. If they can manage to get rid of they will never let this debate rear its head. For example, they’re worried of Ebola but aren’t worried of Cancer or climate change! Cancer is profit not a danger for our power-hungry bosses. Climate change may eradicate humans on earth but before that it will never snatch power from our power mongers. It has always been all about power! No?

I strongly believe that if humans have to die. If entire mankind has to face eradication, we must choose a respectful way to slain ourselves. It is better that we die from the hands of our creations than from the ills of destructions that we done. It is better that we die from robots rather than from Ebola, Anthrax, AIDS, Nuke War, Tsunami or Volcanic Eruptions. This way, we will be able to let our legacy live. If we die from the hands of our robots, they will remember us as their creators! Like we could not find gods on earth till date! Tomorrow, these robots will not be able to find us too but like we revere gods, they will in future revere us. This is our way to eternity or at least a step closer to eternity. This is how we will be remembered when we all will be long gone! Our legacy will be profound! As like the creator! The Almighty!

A Schizophrenic conversation with Eric Hobsbawm

"I, with my tiny life and tinier knowledge as compared to Mr. Hobsbawm, defer from his almost decisive statement that Empires are dead" - Jitendra Rajaram

Eric John Ernest Hobsbawm CH FRSL FBA (1917-2012)
“Born in 1917 and died in 2012, Eric Hobsbawm has actually lived 300 years. His ability to connect past, present, and future of this world in a very comprehensive yet inclusive manner has helped us know how this world has arrived in 2017 from 1492. Born in Egypt and died in Britain, he lived in each and every state born and reborn after his birth. I am going through his book “Globalization, Democracy and Terrorism” published in the year 2007 by Little Brown Publication UK.

I, with my tiny life and tinier knowledge as compared to Mr. Hobsbawm, defer from his almost decisive statement that Empires are dead. Also, I agree with him that while empires can be created by the power of arms and might, it cannot be sustained without active local participation and involvement.

My argument

Empires are not dead yet is based upon my hypothesis that imperialism is living through nationalism which is supported by capitalism. The global hegemony of the USA or the failed hegemony of Soviet or the failed attempt of the hegemony of Nazi Germany is nothing but the successful experiments of keeping empires alive behind the curtain of nationalism. The nation-state is another fictitious emotion created out of a fictitious identity called religion.

The rise and fall of East India Company followed by the fall of British hegemony of colonial Empire was not a conquest of revolutionaries. It was a wishful retreat of empires. When great powers retreat they do so after well-hatched plan B which is a full proof. Colonized America was a model test of the colonial system for the British Empire that they immediately implemented in Australia followed by Africa and Asia. When the cost of colonizing increased they planned to the keep the colonial markets dominated by their products and keeping the colonial politics in control indirectly. Even in twenty-first-century arms trade is heavily dominated by these ex-colonizers.

Use and abuse of people driven-technology
A lot of thinkers and civil society leaders curse the technology. They assume that massive impact of new technologies on the mankind is destructive. I believe this is not true! Technology is going through two kinds of the upgrade. One which is in hands of the people and they are inventing or innovating as per their needs and curiosity. Another is the one which is funded, lab tested and used by the power class to keep the conflict alive. Most of the innovations are taking place in these corporate funded lab tests but this is also true that common people are innovating and inventing out of their curiosity for getting an easy life for the people.

State controlled technologies like nuclear energy, space research, mining have not yet reached to the common use for the people. On the other hand, people driven technologies like internet broadcasting earned publications and derived audience created out of social media is very much driven by the people. Advancements like mobile application led home automation are empowering people. These technologies are the natural growth of the ability of mankind. However, these technologies are not controlled by the people. Any single human being is not more than a drop of water in the whole big ocean. It is not the capacity of one human or a small group of people to keep eye on everything and filter out what is truth and what is not but Imperial agencies have always been doing this. They were doing it then without technology, they are doing it now with technology. It is not that they control everything, but they control enough to keep controlling what satisfies them as the owner of this world.

My hypothesis of the new world order
This world is being governed as if it is a small village and everyone is in check with the central power of that village. Though organizations like United Nations, NATO, BRICS, ISBA, SAARC, EU, OPEC, OECD and more are not powerful enough to solve problems of inter-state or state-militia conflicts, mass migration or virus outbreak but these unions do play a very instrumental role in making this world a single unit of governance. This hypothetic power center works in three layers, corporate, state and Imperials. Corporate being the front desk of this power center keeps on demand and summiting more rights and power from the state and Imperials but at center, the most powerful institution of this power center is imperial.

Imperia is working from behind the curtain, it knows the power of remaining invisible. They don’t control everything, they just control capital and state. Capital and state know Imperia is their bonding glue, they will rip apart each other if Imperia are gone. Now because Imperial gives them all the power they agree to bow to imperial. This is Imperial gets satisfied as a ruler of the of the world.

I Agree with Hobsbawm
Eric Hobsbawm was the member of Fabian Society, so was Jawaharlal Nehru. I admire both of them because of their ability to let everyone experience that they’ve earned a space on the floor. Fabian Society believes that evolution is not the only method of social reforms. It is possible to adopt reforms without dismantling the existing institutions. In the 21st century, a revolution to the tune of what we had seen in Eighteenth Century or before is less likely to happen and this is good news. We don’t need the blood of the innocents to keep the hope for a better tomorrow ignited. The demand of revolution is a type of injustice to many. Tendering sacrifice may be right but the demanding sacrifice is way too much greedy. I am discrediting revolutionary leaders all I am saying that with the resources that we have today and with the technology that we have built up today, it is possible that we can bargain greater reforms for the people from the power centers without engaging into the bloodbath of revolution.

Halli Labs Acquired by Google, too late but too smart too!

"The four month old Indian start-up help technology to march on in its timeless purpose"

Halli Labs belongs to Google now. This is the first acquisition Google has done in India ever. However, After Sundar Pichai’s elevation this news has come way too late but this acquisition indeed has a lot to cherish about. Here is an excerpt from the Halli Labs introduction paragraph “Halli Labs is applying modern ML (Machine Learning) techniques to solve old problems and domains to help technology to march on in its timeless purpose – i.e. giving superhuman powers to all of us humans in letting us do whatever we want to do better.”

Like any other internet giant, Google is also desperate to exploit Indian market. In its bid to play big, Google has arrived very late in India specially when Microsoft has a strong presence in Indian market since three decades. Acquisition of Halli Labs spells Google’s priority of improving its Indian Language translation. 500 Million people use Hindi and there are more than 17 other languages in India that caters to sizable market for an information carrier like Google. Halli Labs has not yet delivered any product in market but they were very promisingly working on Speed Recognition & Natural Language Processing. While the charisma of this acquisition is yet to be revealed, the floodgate has been opened up, let’s see what rolls down in Indian market from now on.

From invention fire, wheel, rice cultivation, paper, gunpowder, electricity, www and hashtags… Artificial Intelligence is set to place humanity to an exponentially new height. Halli Labs has one more thing to impress! The name of this youngest organization! “Halli” in Kannada is called village. We are so fascinated by American names and western verbatim that we seldom heed on how Amazon or almost all Japanese brand like Mitsubishi, Honda, Kodak or Chinese brands like Hawaii have successfully placed their home-grown names into the league of global brands. Strong roots will carry the load of tomorrows giant tree, foundation must be acknowledged. Those brands are all successful because they carry forward their cultural practices along with their names with highest possible ethical standard of business. When Halli Labs describe how modern Machine Learning Technique will solve old problems of human kind it evident that how their culture enrichens their future vision about the organization they have founded.

Well this does not at all a universal criterion of globally performing organization. It never limits the scope for any company to succeed but it considerably proves why some company succeeds and other could… not even when everything they’re doing is right. Simon Sinek in his lecture has described that the most important source of success for any organization is their ability and preference to communicate why they do what they are doing. Halli Labs is just four months old and now joins the Next Billion vision of Google. A lot of us may argue upon this interpretation of success but when we observe the bandwagon of Google Next Billion, organizations like DeepMind and inventions like AlphaGo… it ensures that for complex designs like Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning and Augmented Reality… collaboration will out use competition and together we all will advance to future when humans will work with superhuman minds.

समीक्षा: - “मिनिस्ट्री ऑफ़ अट मोस्र्ट हैप्पीनेस” अरुंधती रॉय

इस किताब से मेरा वो विचार और शक्तिशाली हो जाता है “कि दुनिया भर के नरदेवता सिर्फ सत्तासीन रहने की कवायद में व्यस्त हैं|”

“मिस उदया जबीं, पांच माएं और छ पिताओं की पुत्री हमारी दुनिया की एक मात्र भौतिक उम्मीद है| मिस उदया जबीं, अत्यधिक खुशियों के मंत्रालय का एक मात्र अंतिम फल है|
वो मिस उदया जबीं, जिसका नाम बिना मिस कहे नहीं लिया जा सकता, जिसका सृजन उसकी माँ की कोख में उस वक़्त अंकुरित हुआ जब उसकी माँ का उसके छः पिताओं ने बलात्कार किया था| छः सरकारी पुलिस में से पता नहीं किसकी बेटी है मिस उदया जबीं! जो आज के खौफनाक अत्याचारों की बची ही हुई खंडहर है| उसका नाम, उसकी जिंदगी, उसकी सीख और दुनिया से उसकी पहचान वो पांच औरतें करायिंगी जो उसे माओं की तरह प्यार करती हैं| उनमे से दो मर चुकीं हैं, दो जीना नहीं चाहती और एक जो सबसे बुजुर्ग है, जो न औरत है और न आदमी| कश्मीर, दिल्ली, केरल, बस्तर और इंदौर में पली बढ़ी ये माएं जन्नत गेस्ट हाउस में मिस उदया जबीं का लालन पालन करेंगी|
जन्नत गेस्ट हाउस, दुनिया से परे एक सलतनत है जो हज़ार साल पुरानी दिल्ली के शाहजहानाबाद में कहीं गुमनाम सी जगह में है| ये सल्तानंत उस्ताद सरमद शाह के मकबरे के पास किसी पुराने कब्रिस्तान में स्थित है|
“मिनिस्ट्री ऑफ़ अटमोस्ट हैप्पीनेस” नाम की ये किताब दुखों के सुपर बाजार में बिकने वाली सुखों के लेबल से लिपटी एक वस्तु है| जैसे दुनिया में मौत के बाद के मुनाफे को जीवन बिमा बता कर बेचा जाता है, वैसे ही ये किताब भी दुःख और विपदाओं की दास्तान को हैप्पीनेस ( अटमोस्ट हैप्पीनेस) के नाम से बेचती है|
इसमें बहुत से किरदार हैं, जिनमे मुझे अंजुम बेहद पसंद आई! वैसे तो अरुंधती रॉय का प्रशंशक होने के नाते मुझे तिलोत्तामा पसंद आनी चाहिए थी| लेकिन शायद मेरी पसंद इस बात का एक और उदहारण है की हकीकत की दुनिया में चित अक्सर चिंतन पर भरी पड़ जाता है|
अंजुम गुजरात के दंगो में मुस्लमान होने के बावजूद नहीं मरती| क्यूंकि हिजड़े को मारने से अपशगुन होता है| इसलिए दंगा परस्त अपशगुन के डर से उसे जिन्दा छोड़ देते हैं| खैर अपशगुन किसी को मार देने की व्यापक वजह हो न हो पसंद करने की वजह तो नहीं हो सकती... इसलिए मुझे अंजुम क्यों पसंद आई वो सुनिए!
अंजुम ने मुझे सिखाया है कि किन्नरों को भी उसी तरह प्यार, नफरत, पसंद या नापसंद किया जाना चाहिए जिस तरह हम बाकि के दो लिंग के मनुष्यों को करते है| किन्नरों को भी उसी मापदंड में परखा जाना चाहिए जिसमे हम स्त्री या पुरुषों को परखते हैं| इस कहानी में अंजुम का किरदार बिलकुल प्राकृतिक है| उसका किन्नर होना भी मुझे इस कहानी से बांधे रखता है| अंजुम, इस किताब को पढ़ने की मेरी पहली वजह है|
दूसरी वजह है, कहानी सुनाने की कला का अविष्कार| कल्पनाओं का बुरखा ओढ़े हकीकत के किस्से| एक कला जो हर पल ये साबित करती है की ये सब कुछ कोरी कल्पना है लेकिन फिर भी पाठक भाप लेता हकीकत को| जैसे किसी कविता का छंद-छंद घटित जीवन गाथाओं का वर्णन हो| ये किताब हकीकत की दुनिया के चंद किरदारों को नाम लिए बगैर उन्हें उनकी औकात के साथ पुकारती है| जैसे की गुजरात का लल्ला, अटक कर बोलने वाले कवी प्रधानमंत्री, नीली पगड़ी वाला रोबोट, दूध-मुहे बच्चे सा बोलने वाला गांधीवादी और आगरवाल की आत्मा वाला समाजवादी| इस किताब से मेरा वो विचार और शक्तिशाली हो जाता है “कि दुनिया भर के नरदेवता सिर्फ सत्तासीन रहने की कवायद में व्यस्त हैं|”
इस किताब की पढ़ने की मेरी तीसरी वजह हैं अमरीक सिंह, लवलीन सिंह और डीएसपी पिंकी जैसे किरदार| ये किरदार समझाते है की कैसे राष्ट्रवादी नामक पिंजरे में कैद किये गए लोग नरदेवताओं द्वारा लोभ की भट्टीयों में झोंक दिए जाते हैं| किस तरह कश्मीर वैश्विकृत राजनीती का तंदूर बन चूका है| वो तंदूर जिसमे इंसानों को भून के आतंकवादी बनाया जाता है और नमक मिर्च के साथ खाने की टेबल पर सजा दिया जाता है|
पूरी दुनिया में जो कुछ भी घट रहा है... इस सब के हिसाब से दुनिया में दुनिया से उम्मीद बनाए रखना सबसे कठिन काम है| फिर भी, इस किताब के लेखक ने एक ऐसी जगह ढूंढ निकाली है जहाँ खुशियाँ संभव है| एक ऐसी काल्पनिक दुनिया जो हर दो घटनाओ के बीचो-बीच पनप रही है| आज जब कलयुग सारे पाठ सतयुग से सीख रहा है, आज जब सबकुछ सिर्फ काले और सफ़ेद में या अच्छे और बुरे में या देवता और दैत्य या राष्ट्रवादी और आतंकवादी में बाँट दिया गया है... लेखक ने बीचो-बीच की एक नयी दुनिया खोज निकाली है| जैसे नरसिम्हा अवतार ने सतयुग में हिरन्यकश्यप को मारने के लिए बीचो-बीच का रास्ता चुना था, कलयुग में अरुंधती नें खुशियों को जीवंत करने के लिए बीच की एक दुनिया चुनी है| एक किन्नर, एक कब्रिस्तान, शहर के बीच एक खंडहर उस मकबरे के पास जिसे हिन्दू और मुस्लमान दोनों पूजते है| वो उस्ताद सरमद शाह जिसने ईश्वर के अस्तित्व को नकार दिया था और जिसे आज ईश्वर की तरह पूजा जाता है| वो माजर जो किसी मुस्लमान की है लेकिन गेरुए रंग से पुती हुई है...
इस किताब ने कुछ सवाल उठाये हैं! वो सवाल जिन्हें आज पूछना मतलब जान गवाना हैं| जिन सवालों का जवाब आज कोई नहीं दे सकता... अरुंधती ने उन सवालों को उठाया है| वो भी उस वक्त जब सवाल उठाने मात्र से चिचियती भीड़ वाली सरकार आपकी जुबान नोच लेगी, लेखिका ने उन सवालों को तमाचे की तरह जड़ दिया है|
इस किताब को पढ़ने की आखरी और सबसे कीमती वजह ये है की इस किताब ने मेरे बचपन से जवानी तक खड़े रहे एक सवाल का जवाब दे दिया... इस किताब ने मुझे बताया है की “चिड़िया जब बूढी हो जाती हैं तो मरने के लिए कहा जात है?

Book Review: Ministry of utmost happiness – Arundhaty Roy

"Since the Kal Yuga is taking its lessons from Sat Yuga to interpreted everything in binary, this book must be read to know how the centre of these binaries can be reached"
"Miss Udaya Jabeen, daughter of six fathers and five mothers is the only physical instrument of hope, the only fruitage churned out of the ministry of happiness (…utmost happiness). She is the reminiscence of brutality, sowed while her mother was being raped by her six fathers. Her name, her life, her learning and her views towards the Duniya will be shaped by five women loved her as mothers. Two of those mothers were died, two of those mothers never wanted to live and one of those mothers were neither a woman nor a man. Mothers from Kashmir, Kerala, Delhi, Baster and Indore. Jannat Guest House, an empire away from the Duniya was built over a graveyard near the tomb of Hazarat Sarmad Shah somewhere in Shahjahanabad in a thousand-year-old city called Delhi. A Hazarat who was executed by Aurangzeb because he said la illaha (There is no god).
This book is a product on sale in the supermarket of grief. Like Duniya sells death insurance in the label of “life insurance”, this book sells a basket of tragedies and grief in the name of happiness (utmost happiness).
Out of many characters, I loved Anjum the most. Ideally as a die-hard fan of Arundhaty Roy, I must have liked Tilottama but this is how intuition defies logic in real life. Anjum helped me learn that even transgenders must be hated, loved, liked or disliked based upon the same parameters applied to hate, love, like or dislike other two dominating genders. In this story, a fiction, Anjum portrayed as a natural character, her gender did not alienate me from her. This was the first break through in my struggle to love this book.
The second reason that I loved this book most is an invention of art of storytelling. A fiction story in orb of non-fiction. The art to keep claiming the story as fiction by drawing everything of the story from the real life. I loved the description of Gujarat ka Lalla, Long Pause taking Poet Prime Minster, Blue Turban Robot, Baby Voice Gandhian, An Agarwal soul trapped in activist body. It has helped me strengthen my view-point about these demigods busy in clash of titans.
The third reason is the stories of Amrik Singh, Loveleen Singh, DySP Pinky and Kashmiri Pundits. An explanation of how the beloved people of Duniya prisoned in the cages tagged as right-wing are being used in the furnace of greed. How Kashmir has become the barbeque of the world politics. A barbeque where delicious militants are being cooked to serve baked, hot and spicy.
Considering everything that is happening around the world, the hope for happiness is hardest thing to keep. Author has imagined a place where happiness can be found. An imaginary place in the junction of two things. Since the Kal Yuga is taking its lessons from Sat Yuga to interpreted everything in binary. A Duniya where every human alive is either an Indian or a Pakistani, either a Hindu or a Muslim, either a Nationalist or a Traitor, either a good or an evil… Arundhati thought why not explore happiness exactly in the middle of these binaries. Like Narsimha Avatar of Lord Vishnu in Sat Yuga had augmented a perfect half of the binary to kill immortal sake Hirannakashyap. Vishnu’s centre of binary was for the kill, Arundhati’s centre of binary is to seek happiness.  
The author of this book has raised questions. Important questions which will not be answered today, no one heed on them even to attempt any answers. Today, author is all prepared to be cursed, abused and littered by the parakeet’s army.
For today, the troll’s government will keep everyone in gunpoint if they dare even imagining these questions… But what is satisfying is that that time is coming soon when these questions will be raised by the people in unison.
Most of all, this book I liked most because it has answered a very mysterious question. A mind-boggling question that I had since I was able to recognise this world. This book helped me know “Where does all old birds go to die?” If vultures are all dead? Where had they all gone died?

Ram Nath Kovind: Biggest face of the Caste Based Politics

 The Most Patriotic Party of the World has selected Kanpur ka Dalit as Turup ka Ekka (the ace of trump card).

A little history will explain the present. History knows how masterstrokes and surgical strikes helped sneaking the ace of trump-card called Ram Nath Kovind. Very summarized history in a capsule will describe why Ram Nath Kovind is set to become the second most citizen of India. Yes! The second citizen of India also called the president of India.

Second citizen? Penchant is in history again, same history which we will refer to know how loser of Ghatampur and Bhoganipur legislative assembly of Kanpur district has been planted as second in rank of the throne décor of a Commonwealth Nation i.e. the President of India. Same India which is also the Kohinoor of the crown of Commonwealth British imperia. Yes! the second rank! Because as per the treaty of India Independence Act 1935, Instrument of Accession of India 1945 and Mountbatten Act 1947, the Queen of Britain will remain the first citizen of the Union Republic of India. The Royal anthem of British imperia is the royal anthem of Union of India too. History! Isn’t it new?  

As per the manifestation of the troll’s party, the BJP, the all-round development of Indians need redrafting of history. To redefine this secular-republic-union-of-India into a new United-States-of-India. To hide in their shame, our Khaki Clad bosses want to overlap facts with confusions. For this, they have devised a manual of confusion. A handbook on “how to reduce the value of Indian craftsmen”.

The hard hit of note-ban Gandhi somehow survived to be printed again in the new currency notes, at least for a while, but the introduction of "Gandhi Ka Chasma (Gandhi's spectacle) as the symbol of Swachh Bharat (Clean India) Campaign, Gandhi is reduced to toilet cleaner. Coming generation will only recall Gandhi as someone donated his Chashma to make India the cleanest country of the world.

Dalit are bigger fools than Muslims. In 21st century, what Dalit are facing in India, Muslims are facing in entire world. Both are being equally ridiculed by the regal elites. While Muslim at least know what is happening with them and who are doing it, Dalit still goof around the temple, deities and idols of their arch enemies. This is how RSS's puppet government have succeeded in reducing Ambedkar into a BHIM Application. More than Dalit the RSS knows that Ambedkar was an economist who was master in study of currency and advocated capitalism. In modern day, Ambedkar has been reduced to BHIM App. The coming generation will recall Ambedkar as someone who had invented the BHIM App and Nehru as the inventor of PayTM. Through this version of history, they will never learn things which we have never learnt but they will strongly believe to something what we have never believed.

We perhaps never knew but we will believe that Jinnah had advised Ambedkar that he too must demand a separate nation for Dalit, like Muslims have bargained Pakistan, Ambedkar had refused. In the same fashion when Subhash Chandra Bose had advised Nehru for the weaponized struggle against British Imperia but Nehru had refused. Nehru had said Indians are too weak, poor and defragmented to withstand the most trained British-India army equipped with advanced weapons, tanks and missiles. With the same argument, Ambedkar had replied to Jinnah that Dalit are too weak, poor and defragmented to withstand the Hindu guild called Parakeet Reich. These ideologues will soon be forgotten with these tantrums of trump cards like Ram Nath Kovind.    

The most patriotic political party of the world is deleting the history so that they can rewrite their own version. They are replacing Gandhi by his Ulta Chashma, Nehru by PayTM and Ambedkar by BHIM App so that they can force any loser like Ram Nath Kovind as the new messiah of Dalit. In coming years Kovind will be in text books of schools. The coming generation will read Kovind, Kdonani, Kejriwal and Kawariyas in same breath to define how patriotic is their Hindu Nation. They will never know, like we never knew, that our Royal Anthem is “Long Live the King”. It was our royal anthem before 1947, it will remain our national anthem after 1947.  

So! If BJP claims that announcement of Ram Nath Kovind as the presidential candidate is a step towards renouncing caste based discrimination. I prefer to believe that Britain is returning the Kohinoor as a token of apology. I will prefer to believe that British-India-Army had beheaded less Indians than Pakistani Army. For as of now, the real history is that Britain is bigger enemy of India than Pakistan and we are still being ruled by Britain Monarchy in disguise of the parakeets by an illusion called democracy.

Caste Based Reservation Vs Cost Based Reservation

"Let’s do fancy advertisements in every media sources to 'give-up' reservation, why should we attempt to amend constitution for this pity thing"

"In India, the debate upon reservation is unending. Everyone living in India or living as Indian have their viewpoint about it. No matter if the arguments are in defence of reservation of against it but most of these viewpoints are self-contradictory.
The most acceptable argument, where both extremes of debaters seek consensus is that there should be a reservation in India but not on the basis of caste. Somehow, most of the people are convinced that even the poor of elite caste deserve reservation and the privileged low caste riches must not be allowed to be the beneficiary of reservation.
Well it is hard to debate against the ‘collective conscience of the masses’. Even the supreme court of India considers ‘Collective Conscience of the Masses’ as the last resort of their D’jure Dilemmas. Especially when supreme court is dealing with communal riots, terrorism or heinous crimes like brute murders after rape. If the majority of a population believes that economic status of the household must be the basis of reservation than any argument against it will be cursed or threatened. Am I scared?
Yes, because I am alive I am scared but
I however, have learned to write only because I want to challenge this “Collective Conscience of the masses”. I declare war against it. The very hypothesis that every debate about the caste based reservation gets diverted to poverty based reservation is wrong. The poverty based reservation or economic reservation has a different name in public administration. It is called subsidy. Subsidy is nothing but the poverty based reservation. Whenever we buy key resources to live life… like food, kerosene, LPG, electricity, education etc. anyone if not capable to pay for these resources get this subsidy from the administration to buy. Subsidy have been in practice since quite a long time and will remain in practice for as long as there exists poverty in India. Hence, the very surface of the conclusion of the caste based reservation must be reconstituted as poverty based reservation falls null and void. Reservation for poor already exists and it is called Subsidy.
Now, bolt open the poisonous cave. The debate whether caste based reservation must continue of not. India has not emerged out of caste based atrocities, neither in urban areas nor in rural areas. It is just that handful of low caste families have got acceptance among the handful high caste families. That is, it. Nothing, not even an iota more, has happened than this. So, when subsidy will exist for as long as the poverty will exist, why caste based reservation must not exists as long as the caste based hatred does exist? Anyone believer upon science and statistics must have to agree with me that caste based hatred is prevalent in 21st century India. A very few Dalits have access in the personal or social lives of a very few elites. The ratio must be of 1:100000 if not more. Only to kind of people will find this ratio as exaggeration. One, those who are beneficiary of heinous caste structure of the society based Varna System devised by Manu Hrishi. And second, those who have got heavily benefited by the caste based reservation provided as per the Indian Constitution coded by Dr. B R Ambedkar.
India in 21st century have got two types of Brahmanism. The beneficiaries Hrishi Manu’s constitution and the beneficiaries of the Dr. B R Ambedkar’s constitution. As much as the Manu’s Brahmanism is receding, the Ambedkarite’s Brahmanism is increasing. This is very reason why caste based reservation is losing its significance in the “Collective Conscience of the Masses”.
Well, my dear brother and sisters. As swami Vivekananda, the only Hindu I admire, has infamously said. I wonder still, how beef eating American in Chicago can be the brothers and sisters but not the stone worshiping Dalits can be the brothers and sisters of Hindus. Nonetheless, my dear brothers and sisters, since you all are fond of carving a middle way for every debate. I tender a middle way for this debate on Caste Based Reservation. The solution is “Give Up”! As sermonized by the latest god… Just “Give Up”.  
In an era where “Give Up” has become the coefficient of National Courage for bloody civilians. The last resort for civilians to prove their patriotism, wonder if soldiers get this chance to prove their patriotism by just “Giving Up”. So, if capable can give up their LPG subsidy, why can’t benefitted Dalits can give up their reservation? Why do we need to amend the constitution to fore block every single Dalit from the Caste Based Reservation?
If the people does not have courage to stop subsidies, why people are considering to stop cased based reservation? Why not go the midway as we have always done? Let’s just “Give Up”! Like privileged citizen have gave up the subsidy for LPG, let the few privileged citizens give up the reservation. Let’s do fancy advertisements in every media sources to give up reservation, why should we attempt to amend constitution for this pity thing.   

Social Media Versus Social Science

At the surface level, the algorithmic analogy of Google & Facebook appears very fair but dig deep to know that with both, user loses the freedom of acquiring knowledge without prejudices.
– Jitendra Rajaram

“Arranged Data is called information. Any interpretation of information is called knowledge. This interpretation is subject to individual’s past experience that correlates with this new-found information. Data revolution enables the supremacists with a new kind of power. With data, now they can counterfeit our past experience to conquer our future.
The algorithms of artificial intelligence have pushed us all into a new cage. In the name of safety, we are all brought inside an iron box which may (or may not) keep us alive from attacks, road accidents or terror blasts but inside this iron box we are forced to live with ear piercing noise coming from outside. This noise is called information terrorism. The little box that we all hold in our hand is the tag rope. This tag rope delivers us the illusion of freedom. The social media through which we connect to the world is pushing us to the dark corner of this iron cage even more vehemently.
Since childhood we all have read books with an index page. Made copies with proper table of contents right at beginning pages. Why then these social media sites are not telling us how they index our data? Why Google keeps a certain information on top? Why Facebook shows us few feeds repeatedly while never shows few feeds? Facebooks keeps assembling the information that we may like most. The piece of information in which we will most likely react in the form of comment or likes however Google keeps on sorting a data based on how much google is paid for putting a certain information at the top. There is very basic genetical difference between Facebook and Google. Facebook claims “I know everything including what you want to know hence I deliver without even you ask me to deliver” on the other hand Google claims “I know everything but you have to ask me whatever you want to know”
At the surface level, these both algorithmic analogy appears very fair but dig deep to know that in both cases user loses the freedom of acquiring knowledge without prejudices. This is how our experiences about our past is being tempered. If I hate any person, any sect, any gender, caste, creed or ethnicity then Facebook will keep feeding me with more reasons to brood up this hatred and Google will simply tell me what Google’s rank buyers want me know my hatred. This means by one instrument, I will only brood my hatred and by another, I will remain a customer of hatred. I no case I will have unfiltered, non-tormented and non-distilled information which can help me question my own belief and reasoning. Facebook stimulates my hatred and Google catalogues it.  
In our side, the fact is that we have lost the ability to consume unfiltered information. We have become so much a consumer that we want everything readymade. We don’t want complex things in systematic lifestyle. We have grown up with some processed binary thoughts. With video-games, comic books, online games, TV Soaps, Cinemas and few holy books all we have learnt that them exist a hero and a villain. We all think that we are heroes and everyone against us are all villain. Interestingly, in real life no one in our network actually fits in the definition of heroes or the villain both but our mathematical ability of thinking assumes who is what. With this same analogy of heroes and villain have we all learnt to see this world.
To counter this nexus of information terrorism, we all have to return to the basics. Science is the basic ground of mankind. Social science is a practice of measuring patterns in the society. It is a method of finding the definite answers of very definite questions with least possible assumptions or prejudices. It limits the scope of deviated interpretations so that information could unearth actual conclusions. Unfortunately, this practice has maimed by the vociferous sensationalism.

Systematically designed data illusions are leading us to the new kind of slavery. As for slavery to grow, the thumb rule is to choke knowledge. With data abundance and piling information and with tempered interpretations we are leading to illusions. Is it not evitable that the world is not debating upon water crisis, climate change, poverty, epidemics in unison? 

Clean City Indore

When the government starts to function like a corporate office, these surveys, competitions, and awards become the carrot and donkey chase. Where awards are the carrots and citizens are the donkeys." - Jitendra Rajaram 

"From Gonda (listed as the dirtiest city in India) to Indore (the cleanest city in India), I have experienced fact and fiction of ‘clean India’ claim. It’s a lie that nothing has been done as much it is a lie that significantly has been done to make Indore cleanest city. It’s shock to many and surprise to many more that Indore ranks above Navi-Mumbai, Bangalore and Greater Noida.
In Indore, I live near old trenching ground since last three years. This trenching ground was the only garbage disposing unit for a city which is home to 3.8 Million people. A place where burning garbage was the only masterstroke to dispose of garbage. The suffocating, stinking and poisonous smoke had made lives of many like hell. After three long years of public protests and follow-ups, administrators heeded upon abandoning this trenching ground. This, however, is not something to be called as a success. The colony we live in has broken sewage line that floods the entire main road. This area stinks like hell, traffic makes the situation worse. Our relatively new colony has empty plots around the new apartments, these plots are turning into new trenching grounds. While no one cleans this stinking garbage from empty plots, in the name of cleanliness movement, all we hear is a jarring song every morning. A song that has replaced our alarm clocks, oozes from the garbage collection vehicle that promotes the municipal campaign for cleanliness (a good move though).
Well, no doubt, main roads of Indore cities have become clean but this is more because of the road constructions and BRTS constructions are over. Except for Agra-Bombay Road, Mahatma Gandhi Road and Ring road the condition of other places has nothing sort of cleanliness or hygiene. The government hospitals are as infectious as it has been ever since they’re built. The life track of Indore, MG Road, has no urinal or toilets. The main city intersections like Palasia, Geeta Bhawan etc. has no restrooms. The restrooms of important public places like petrol pumps, intercity bus terminals have no appropriate toilets for women. If shopping malls, business parks, and prime hotels are excluded, Indore city has negligible accessibility of drinking water, public toilets, and garbage disposal units. A locality called Suraj Nagar, home to the most of the laborers and street hawkers has muddy streets, makeshift bathrooms, urinal stinking corners and pigs rattle all around. There are many such localities in Indore left unattended. On what measure will this city then be considered as clean?

If graffiti, posters, wall paintings and hoardings are the parameters, Indore must rank one. If selfie revolution is a parameter, Indore must rank one. These social media campaigns, wall-paintings, and hoardings contain slogans that victimize people. People’s habit as the only reason of dirty urban India. This entire campaign nailed people guilty of the filth as if municipal corporation or any other administration machinery had no negligence whatsoever pertaining to it. This camping has removed street hawkers from Rajwada, Jawahar Marg, and MG Road without considering any alternatives of their livelihood. The system headed to their crying demand of right to earn livelihood only when a gherao led by ‘Roti Ka Sangharsh Association’ laid siege around the house of Sumitra Mahajan (Parliament Speaker and Indore’s six-time Member of Parliament from BJP). However, except assurance, no action has been taken so far.

High Voltage Lose Talk

“Donkey is not a second-class animal, perhaps some of us are” – Jitendra Rajaram

"We’re becoming the society of cheap jokes, dire jibe and second class remarks passing upon any one. This we all do, regardless of whoever we are and, whoever is at the receiving end. We are increasingly failing to recognize differences between a rapist and a decorated public authority. We use same slang to discharge our anguish against both of them. The way our TVs are delivering us content in prime-time programs, we have failed to imagine what is being painted in the minds and hearts of the very people we live and love. Will we accept that “Baba Ji ka Thullu” or “Sahi Pakde hain” is the most creative discovery? Will we accept that what entertains millions of Hindi speaking media consumers is, by any means, a sacred art form? What certifies them as valid entertainment for one and all? What do you think! That our political leaders are learning this second class language from TVs or personal media like WhatsApp? How do they know that we will be enthralled by their wittiness by using such lowly annotations? Like these leaders, our language is polluted too, but to an extent our speech has limited audience. This however shouldn’t reduce the guilt and guilty we must have but imagine how deep and wide does it spreads when our beloved politicians speak such a low. Don’t we think as a society we are sinking to the shame of nakedness?    
Decades ago when we were not free and British were ruling us, our senses for respect ware evident in the language we used to speak. Our public speech had all high decorations for the authorities or the leaders having contrast ideological views. In a biography of Mr. Jaya Prakash Narayan an issue of an illegitimate commentary upon Dr. Rajendra Prasad is mentioned. This issue explains how high were our values. In a very casual and private discussion Mr. Narayan quoted to another congressman “Dr. Prasad ji to Pandit Ji ki pair ki joothi bhi nahi hain (Dr. Prasad is not even equal to shoes of Mr. Nehru)”. Few days later somehow this remark reached to Dr. Prasad’s ear. He quickened to visit Mr. Narayan’s home to confirm whether he had actually said this. Jayprakash turned pale out of remorse and guilt to which Dr. Rajendra Prasad politely asked, while almost crying, “Narayan Ji apne jo bhi kaha so kaha par ye batao kya main sach me itna gaya beeta hun? (It’s ok what you have said Narayan, but do you really think I am that useless?)”. That was the moment when Jayaprakash fell on the feet of Dr. Prasad to plead forgiveness. Next day Indian Express, published the regret letter authored by Mr. Jayaprakash Narayan in which he mentioned that no level of penance can fetch enough reparation for the sin that he had committed. Remember it was a private tête-à-tête not a speech in a massive rally. Also, Jayaprakash did never hold any public office or represented any authority ever. 
The magnificence of the language and gestures we used to practice in our public life has long gone. We have a prime minister who dreams of outperforming Pt. Jawaharlal Nehru but not even remotely he equates to the nobility of public life that Nehru lived. Listening to what our politicians talk today, I can most responsibly say that, our school days’ debate competitions had more rich content and legitimate language for every contrasting viewpoint.
The public discourse that now we are living with is infesting our minds. Worse it is becoming OK for the mind arguments of our youngsters. Think of tomorrow, when next league of politicians will take charge of the offices that our role models holding today! It is shaming us that our leaders have nothing sort of world view or not even a local view for politics. They’re failing on deciding upon what to speak and what not in public.  
If jokes of Bhaiya-Bhabhi (Brother and brother’s wife) is the content of speech given by the leader of massive fan following educated from the best university of America… imagine what could be the content of your sons and daughters tomorrow!
Everyone who votes has an inclination towards a political leader. This extends to another fact that we also disagree with a certain other leader. This is how we decide whom to vote. It is simply not a crime. But what is crime… is that we justify our leader for everything while we attack upon another leader for all same thing. This biased opinion about one leader’s shameful offense upon the other is escalating the rage. Donkey is not a second-class animal, perhaps some of us are. Donkeys must not be dragged in our prestigious parliamentarian language. “Donkey” is not a right word for public discourse. Donkey has nothing to do with our political sense of hatred so why to victimize it by our verbal filth. Irrespective of who used it first or who used it as a counter argument, we must unanimously condemn it vociferously. Least, a leader as big as the Prime Ministers of world’s largest democracy he could have simply passed on from this tempting issue.
The arguments and counter-arguments must be above a line. A line that we as a citizen should have drawn or must draw now. Any remark that inches below the belt must be ruthlessly shunned and leaders must be punished.   

Predicting UP Assembly Election 2017

"The introduction of NOTA and addition of first time voters (i.e. age group between 18 and 25) are tempering all pre-poll surveys like never before" - Jitendra Rajaram

"In 21st century, selling future is the most profitable business. When the middle class population of the world is connected through a palm size gadget, curiosity has become the single largest instinct that triggers sales. From insurance to stem cells everything that gives some future assurance in exchange of the present income is selling.
Speculation is one of many packages of the commodity called ‘future’. From FIFA, Cricket, IPLs, Big Boss or related TV Reality shows to politics; speculations about who is winning is the riddle everyone attempts to solve to make money.
$140Million was spent in betting on who will be the 45th president of USA. An NRI living in USA had lost $28000 (=1409000.00 Rupees) in few minutes when President Donald Trump’s victory appeared certain. Uttar Pradesh assembly election being the most prominent, complex and interesting; everyone is extending ears for whatever rumours or gossip floats.
This triangular contest of UP Assembly Election 2017 among SP-Congress Alliance, BSP and BJP is indeed full of ghost stories. This otherwise quadruple contest condensed to be triangular because of the alliance between grand old party (Congress) and typhoon hit ruling party (Samajwadi Party).
Well! Any result, once declared, can be tracked backward to analyse what factors contributed to it. The other way around is not always correct. But that’s not what everyone is curious to know! You’ve got to tell something now. Predict and add your logic of prediction. That’s all is selling now.
A multiparty election system like the one we have in India is too complex to be functionally dependent on one variable only. Not even the good old caste configuration or the minority’s mass vote bank can be the decisive factor alone. One cannot deny their role in elections but still cannot forecast results on these precursors.
Recent election patterns are showing that we as a voter have been transformed remarkably. The introduction of NOTA and additional first time voters (i.e. age group between 18 and 25) are mitigating all pre-polls. As Edition Research has observed that young voters, women voters and elite voters are less likely to contribute in these surveys. Most of the researchers just presume their input under wrong hypothesis. Also seldom any respondent is vocal about voting NOTA in poll surveys. In few elections of the recent past, votes drawn for NOTA has been more than the votes drawn in favour of many independent contestants. Also, in many seats of Bihar and West Bangla Assembly polls, the winning margins have been thickly smaller than NOTA. In 2015, Bihar Assembly election NOTA vote share was 2.49%, more than the vote share of 15 other important parties contesting. This includes BSP with just 2.21% vote share. Interestingly, this is larger than vote deviation of BJP (up 1.60%) and Congress (Down 1.66%).
Any sample poll survey of the world has never collected more than 5% of the field data to deduce possible results. No wonder why, these 0.05% deviations in vote margins sour all poll predictions. Compare actual results with the poll survey predictions to figure out that a slight galvanization of data will match them significantly.
As said by Dr. Alan Smith, Editor of Financial Times London, “There is huge difference between statistical fact and people perception”. What looks is likely to be truth is not even close to truth. This phrase falls fatal on statistical speculations made when there is a pre-poll alliance. The Rediff Labs, has re-produced a statistical atlas based on the 2012 poll performance, present political sentiments and several special case scenarios. According to this sentiment map, SP-Congress alliance is out performing all other parties contesting. This statement remains intact even if the sentiment maps worst case scenario for SP-Congress alliance. Pre-poll alliance creates lots of illusions in voters’ mind that surveys fail to record.
A lot has already gone unpredictable in UP Assembly election 2017. Blotched BSP central leadership, Demonetization, SP-Congress alliance, BJP’s ticket distribution and concurrence of BMC Municipal Election. These sequential events has jolted the table upside down. While Muslims voting will be different in every seats. It will remain distributed between SP and BSP. Dalit votes will be the most fractured and disfigured but will give equal spikes to BJP and BSP vote curves. Congress has attempted to woo Brahmin votes and if succeeded, it will create unbreakable trio of Brahmin, Muslim, and Yadav favouring the alliance. If Muslims take side with BSP, it will be Thakur, Muslim, and Dalit trio to emerge in flying colours. Baniya votes are relevant to 78 urban seats where it will be distributed among parties giving chances to Baniya candidates and BJP. Except Mahadalits, favouring BSP, no caste based vote bank can be out rightly segmented in favour of anyone contesting.  Demonetization has played havoc in lives of those based on income of migrant labours employed in Mumbai, NCR and other cities of India. This population is talkative and influencer among their community. Farmers are divided based upon their loan burden. Aganwari members are in swing towards BJP because congress sided with SP. Aganwari vote bank was first identified by congress, who had sensitized them about their miserable life in return of hard works done by them for the government. Congress had polarized Aganwari workers against SP but now they’re left orphan in the middle of their struggle. Gas Stove distribution to poor women will add on to the vote share of BJP irrespective of which caste or class they belong.
Just for your curiosity tissue, the CM seat will receive Akhilesh most probably or Mayawati for the least. Your world’s largest political has to pause because no local parties will ever lose their turf to any national parties, may what come. This is what is it had been in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu and Bihar. On top of everything, three W will rule this election like it did every time before i.e. wine, wealth and waivers. In conclusion, those mistake Lucknow for Uttar Pradesh! Maharashtra is not Mumbai, Bangalore is not Karnataka. Coming to Hazaratganj, enjoying Tunde Kebab and filing all your predictions about UP election will not earn you a prestige of research based journalist.  

जमीन से हैश-टैग

"महानगरों में, टीवी में और हैश-टैग की दुनिया में वो हकीकत की गंध भी नहीं है जो कड़ाके की ठण्ड में चुनावी गर्माहट से उपजे कोहरे ने जमीनी हवा में घोल राखी है| इतना घाना कोहरा है की भविष्य तो दूर वर्तमान को भाप पाना भी किसी सुर्वेक्षण के बस की बात नहीं है| " - जे आर वी

"वोट डालने के क्षण को याद करिए| लाइन में लगे रह कर इंतज़ार करना, अपनी पहचान कुछ कागजी टुकड़ों के दम पर साबित करना और नाखून में स्याही लगवाने वाली प्रक्रिया आदि को नहीं...! सिर्फ उन पलों को जब आप उस वोटिंग मशीन को तन्हाई में निहार रहे होते हैं| मैं आपके राजनीतिक रूप से सजग मन से कोई बैर नहीं रखता और न ही आपकी राजनीती से कोसो दूर रहने की समझदारी पर संदेह कर रहा हूँ| मैं तो सिर्फ उन दस बीस सेकेण्ड में पूरी हो जाने वाली घटना को आपके जहन में उकेरने की कोशिश कर रहा हूँ|

अब आप तवज्जो दीजिये इस बात पर की कुछ दिनों बाद आने वाले उन दस बीस सेकेंडों में आप क्या करेंगे...? इस बात का पूर्वानुमान लगाने वाली इन बड़ी बड़ी सांख्यकी की पद्धतियों को आप कितना कुशल मानेंगे? क्यूंकि आप इस ब्लॉग को पढ़ रहे हैं... आप उन विशेष नागरिक के दर्जे में आते हैं जिन्हें तकनिकी उपलब्ध है| वरना दुनिया के सबसे बड़े लोग तंत्र में आज २१विं सदी में भी ये वोटिंग मशीने गधों में लाद के दूर दराज के गाँवों में ले जाया जाता हैं... सटीक से सटीक वैज्ञानिक पोल सर्वे भी इन लोगो तक नहीं पहुँचते... तो फिर इनके आकडे भविष्य कैसे बाँछ लेते हैं?
दुनिया की सबसे मशहूर सर्वे कंपनी गैलप (Gallup) कहती है की तालब के पानी की जांच करने के लिए पूरे तालब के पानी की आवश्यकता नहीं हैं... कोई दस-बारह गिलास पानी तालाब के अलग-अलग हिस्सों से ले आओ और लेबोरेटरी में जांच कर लो| हलाकी पिछले कुछ चुनावों में तो Gallup जैसी धुरंधर कंपनिया भी फ़ैल हो चुकी हैं लेकिन एग्जिट पोल की उपभोगता में कोई कमी नहीं आयी है... उलट इसकी मांग बढाती ही जा रही है|

वैसे... समय की धारा में आगे क्या हो सकता है... के पूर्वानुमान लगाने का कौशल ही एक मात्र वो कौशल है जो हमें जमीन से जुड़े बांकी जानवरों से अलग करता हैं| भविष्य का ख्याल, भविष्य की चिंता और भविष्य का बंदोबस्त... बैंक से लेकर, स्कूल, कॉलेज और सरकार तक सब खुछ इस भविष्य को ही अलग अलग पैकेज में बेंच रहे हैं| झंडाबरदारी हो, डिग्री नुमा कागज हो, लम्बे चौड़े भाषण हो या फिर बंद किये जा सकने वाले वचन पत्र (रूपए)... सब के सब व्यापारिक उपयोग के लिए बनाया जाता है|

फ्रेंड्स-डे से लेकर वेलेनटाइन-डे तक एक युवक या युवती भविष्य के बारे जो कुछ भी कल्पना कर सकते हैं वो सब कुछ एक नेता चुनावी दौर से लेकर मतगणना तक काल्पन कर लेता है| ऐसे में अगर कोई भविष्य में क्या होगा उसका हिसाब कर के पहले दुकान लगा ले तो मुनाफ़ा क्यूँ नहीं होगा?

Gallup के गिलास वाले उदहारण पर वापिस चलते हैं... एक तालाब के पानी की जांच जंद गिलास पानी से तब तक सटीक हो सकती है जब पूरे तलब की स्थिति लगभग एक जैसी हो... लेकिन तब क्या होगा जब एक-एक मीटर में तलब का पानी रंग, गंध, मिलावट और संक्रमण में अलग-अलग तरह का हो जाए? या तलब और गिलास का रिश्ता भले जायज लगे लेकिन क्या महासागर और बाल्टी के बीच कोई अनुप्पत है? क्या कलकत्ता के तट से लिया गया एक ड्रम या एक बाल्टी पानी पूरे बंगाल की खाड़ी के पानी का सटीक अध्यन करा सकता हैं?

महानगरों में जो गजब की बहेस छिड़ी हुई है, टीवी पर क्या गजब-गजब के तथ्य पेश किये जा रहे हैं| आज पत्रकार हर नयी ब्रेकिंग न्यूज़ के साथ सीटों के आंकड़ों को पलट रहे हैं| 20वीं सदी के ख़त्म होते होते एक ऐसा दौर आया था जब युवा वर्ग नौकरी की उहापोह को जीवन धर्म मानकर सभी चाय-पान की गुमटियों से कोसो दूर चला गया था| पड़ोसी तो दूर खुद अपने बच्चों से भी हफ़्तों-हफ़्तों तक नहीं मिल पाता था तब के दशक में ये तालाब और गिलास वाली थ्योरी बिलकुल सटीक बैठती थी| लेकिन जब से दुनिया टीवी से घटकर मोबाइल स्क्रीन पर आ गयी है; गजब हो गया है| चाय-पान की चर्चाओं में भी एक शालीनता होती थी पर आज WhatsApp में सभी तरह की भड़ास निकली जा रही है| उन गुमटियों में कोई एडमिन नहीं होता था लेकिन इन मोबाइल चैट्स का तो ग्रुप एडमिन और उन ग्रुप एडमिन को खुराख भेजने वाली हैशटैग संस्थाएं तक ऐसी कतार बन गयी है की सबको गेराँव (लगाम) बाँध के हांकना आसान हो गया है| जब तालाब के एक एक इंच में इंजेक्शन से जहर घोला जा सकता है तो चंद गिलास भर पानी के सैंपल से पूरे तलब के पानी का मूल्यांकन कैसे संभव है?  

पिछले ३० दिनों में मैं भारत के बहुत बड़े हिस्से की यात्रा कर चूका हूँ| कोरबा, बिलासपुर, लखनऊ, कानपूर, मैनपुरी, फतेहपुर, ऊंचाहार, इलाहबाद, कटनी, भोपाल, इंदौर, झाँसी, दिल्ली, बडौदा, गोरखपुर, गोंडा, बस्ती, ऊंचाहार, रायबरेली और भी कई दूर दराज के गाँवों में मैंने बहोत से पढ़े-लिखे, व्यापारी, अनपढ़, जवान, बुजुर्ग, पुरुष, महिलाओं, नेताओं, अधिकारीयों और आम जनों से कई मुद्दों पर चर्चा की हैं... यात्रा के दौरान सह-यात्रियों की बातों को ख़ामोशी से सुना है| कई सर्वे और डाटा कलेक्शन के काम कर चूका हूँ| कई पत्रकारों से तर्क वितर्क किये हैं| और जान पाया हूँ की महानगरों में, टीवी में और हैश-टैग की दुनिया में वो हकीकत की गंध भी नहीं है जो कड़ाके की ठण्ड में चुनावी गर्माहट से उपजे कोहरे ने जमीनी हवा में घोल राखी है| इतना घाना कोहरा है की भविष्य तो दूर वर्तमान को भाप पाना भी किसी सुर्वेक्षण के बस की बात नहीं है| दावे से कह रहा हूँ की आगामी 5 राज्यों के चुनाव परिणाम हम सब को चौकाने वाले हैं| देश के इस सुदूर कोने में घुला हुआ मैं जमीन से बोल रहा हूँ... हे असमानों में बसे महानगरों के क्लाउड कंप्यूटिंग वाले हैश-टैग बोट्स मुझे सुन पा रहे हो न?